Probability

This chapter introduces the theoretical (classical) definition of probability, calculating the probability of simple events using favourable outcomes and total outcomes.

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Definition
Theoretical Probability

The theoretical probability of an event E, written P(E), is defined as: P(E) = (Number of outcomes favourable to E) / (Total number of possible outcomes), assuming all outcomes are equally likely.

Note
Key Properties

The probability of any event lies between 0 and 1 (inclusive): 0 ≤ P(E) ≤ 1. P(E) = 0 means the event is impossible. P(E) = 1 means the event is certain. The sum of probabilities of an event and its complement is 1: P(E) + P(not E) = 1.

Question

Q. A die is thrown once. What is the probability of getting a number greater than 4?

Total outcomes when a die is thrown = 6 (numbers 1 to 6). Numbers greater than 4 are 5 and 6, so favourable outcomes = 2. P(number greater than 4) = 2/6 = 1/3.

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Key Point

For a well-shuffled deck of 52 playing cards: there are 4 suits (hearts, diamonds, clubs, spades) with 13 cards each, 26 red cards and 26 black cards, 12 face cards (jack, queen, king of each suit), and 4 aces.

Question

Q. A bag contains 3 red balls and 5 black balls. A ball is drawn at random. Find the probability that it is red.

Total balls = 3 + 5 = 8. Favourable outcomes (red balls) = 3. P(red ball) = 3/8.

MCQ

The probability of an impossible event is:

  • A) 0
  • B) 1
  • C) 0.5
  • D) Cannot be determined

Correct answer: (A) 0

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Fill in the Blank

Two events are called _______ if the occurrence of one prevents the occurrence of the other at the same time.

Mutually exclusive

True / False

The sum of the probabilities of all possible outcomes of a random experiment is always 1.

True — since the outcomes together cover all possibilities (the sample space), their probabilities must sum to 1.